This report examines the rapidly growing MRD/monitoring landscape, highlighting the persistent challenges in assay standardization despite expanding trials, coverage, and test adoption and offering frameworks for data interpretation alongside defining meaningful measures of sensitivity to enable more informed, actionable, and equitable clinical use.
MRD / monitoring is growing rapidly, especially in the U.S., with increasing trial launches and readouts, expanding coverages and reimbursement, growing test volumes, and even slow inclusion into the NCCN guidelines. However, there remains a large gap in regard to standardizing the crowded space – there are many different assays, multiple approaches, and data that may not be directly comparable to each other. Understanding how to interpret data points and assay characteristics (e.g., tumor-informed vs. tumor-agnostic, number of loci tracked, PCR vs. NGS, baseline sequencing breadth) are all critical for making informed decisions on the trade-offs that exist.
Sensitivity currently is the key lever by which many assays are compared or marketed, but is primarily evaluated via the assay’s limit of detection (LoD) in lieu of clinical sensitivity data or as a universal measure across settings or cancer types. However, both analytical sensitivity and clinical sensitivity have variables that can confound comparisons if not standardized. For example, analytical sensitivity, or the LoD, is impacted by considerations such as the type of sample (e.g., contrived vs. clinical) and input amount. The clinical sensitivity is impacted by considerations such as the cancer type and stage, patient demographic, test timing, and test frequency.
Standardizing these not only allows informed decision-making around test use but also allows us to build together to a future where MRD / monitoring is more easily accessible and actionable for patients. As clinical data grows, we may better understand the actionability of MRD / monitoring results in different clinical use cases and settings and thereby better understand where the threshold of analytical sensitivity should be (perhaps even on a case-by-case basis).
Amal is a life sciences strategy consultant. At DeciBio, he focuses on assessing liquid biopsy opportunities across the clinic and biopharma, with deepest interest in evaluating clinical workflows and use cases for MRD / monitoring assays in both solid tumors and hematological malignancies. He has led over 150 interviews with oncologists and pathologists regarding MRD / monitoring testing and spoke on the topic at MDPM-2024. Amal also leads DeciBio’s monthly LBx newsletter.
Dr. Budel specializes in the market analysis of private to mid-cap companies with emerging to established technologies in the life science research tools and diagnostic spaces. He has deep genomics expertise, especially as it relates to clinical NGS. He has supported clients facing a broad range of challenging business issues, including R&D prioritization, evaluation of disruptive technologies, and commercial due diligences.
Dr. Aijian’s work focuses on the oncology biomarkers, diagnostics, and data markets. In these markets, Andrew specializes in the development, commercialization, and utilization of research tools and diagnostics across the entire precision medicine spectrum, from early discovery through the patient journey. Andrew works to reduce the barriers to innovation between precision medicine stakeholders.
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